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Association seminar on CAP funding in the Horse and Jockey Hotel, Thurles, Co Tipperary.
"We still have to get detail on the nitty gritty of the Rural Development Programme, which will be very important in terms of which individual farmers are gaining and losing. The losers will be very small in number, only those with entitlements way above the average."
"We went through a similar big debate 10 years ago when coupling came in. Some people said there would be a 50% reduction in the suckler cow herd. That didn't happen. Instead, we had a single digit decline."
A principal research officer with Teagasc in the Rural Economy Research Centre, Dr Hanrahan says most farmers will see a change of +/ 10% on their prior farm payments. Only a very small number of upper tier farmers with entitlements far Nike Blazer Supreme On Feet in excess of the average will experience a marked fall in income.
Kevin Hanrahan also provided category breakdowns on likely impacts of the new CAP, relative to prior farm payments taking 2010 as a sample year. Dairy, sheep, mixed livestock were all in the +/ 10% range in terms of impact on farm Foamposite Safari
"The CAP reforms are a conservative interpretation of the options open to the minister," said Dr Hanrahan.
we'll have to wait and see if there really is any major impact," said Dr Hanrahan, at yesterday's Agricultural Science Nike Foamposite All Red
While much of the fine detail of the Rural Development Programme (RDP) must be finalised, the consensus at yesterday's ASA seminar was that the new CAP will offer a good framework upon which the agri food sector can plan for further growth.
CAP reforms will result in 'little change to farm incomes'
Association president Sean Farrell said: "The considerable budget allocation from national resources for the RDP is a strong commitment to the agricultural sector which is continuing to provide real growth opportunities as illustrated by the 40% rise in agri food exports over the past four years."
Farm incomes will experience relatively little change as a result of EU reforms to the CAP budget, according to Teagasc economist Kevin Hanrahan.
In broad terms, dairying is up a little, sheep about even, while tillage farmers are the most exposed to losses under the new CAP.
Overall, association members welcomed the Teagasc analysis showing minimal likely impact upon farm incomes.
"I think the biggest uncertainty will be in the impact upon production, but Basketball Shoes Nike Black
Beef farmers' choices will be impacted more by their ability to make a profit than by farm payments.
In balance, there will be more income gainers than losers under the new CAP. The analysis excludes possible costs of greening.
Department of Agriculture officers Paud Evans and Fintan O'Brien also addressed the conference, answering some queries on the framework for RDP funds, single farm payments and the management of entitlements.
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